Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Why the Economic stimulus plan will not work

Why the economic stimulus plan proposed by Barry and the boys will fail and be the boondoggle of all boondoggles and earmarks to heaven.
1) this is not the great depression. Unemployment is nowhere near 25% and will not get one third as high
2) In the GD, make work was hiring thousands of poorly skilled, poorly educated men as manual laborers and provide them with a shovel. Today, the same projects are high capital items with million dollar Caterpillar machines using a small fraction of humans necessary.
3) The world economy is an informational one not a human muscle one. The labor available is mainly poorly skilled and undereducated and cannot compete on the world informational stage. Unless training is included, it will not add much to the US brain pool.
4) Few of the project have any cost benefit analysis and will be selected on a purely political, read to go basis.

Infrastructure stimulus plan--my own

My thoughts on an infrastructure stimulus bill are as follows:
Items should be able to provide value to the American economy.
1) Add a third lane to all interstates and a fourth lane to urban loops. Upgrade all roads and bridges to satisfactory conditions
a. Traffic will increase. Semi traffic double or triple in next decade
b. Open roads means smoother traffic, less congestion, and better energy results
c. Double gas tax to provide funds to maintain and improve roads
2) Use federal grants to double track all major rail lines in the country and to build overpasses/underpasses along all highways.
a. Expedite rail traffic and hence save energy
b. Immediately save several thousands lives a year ordinarily killed by rail auto incidents
c. Provide path for direct, high speed interurban passenger rail traffic
3) Double or triple port capacity. Provide priority for exports.
4) Modernize FAA and air routes to provide point to point travel
a. Save energy and time
5) Immediately open up all coastline and government acreage to oil and gas exploration, fast-track and prohibit environmental challenges. Open up ANWR and Oil shale production.
6) Fast track dozens of new nuclear energy plants.
7) Upgrade and build new transcontinental transmission systems to provide for easy flow of power to where it is needed.

Policy recommendations

Policy statements that stem directly from the tenets
1.

Taxation
If we wish to revise the tax system the following items should be targeted:
•Fair, Equitable,
•Simple, User Friendly
•Not Regressive, Progressive from perspective of richer, more is paid
•Not double taxation (interest, dividends not be taxed)
My recommendation is a national consumption (or sales) tax
Perhaps 20% on all products and services
Exemption would be for nutritious foods (no chips, no soft drinks), basic level of utilities and rent (so a poor family could live well and pay no consumption tax)( the ‘rich’ would have a choice, to save it and not pay any taxes or to consume –yacht, jewelry, etc—and pay the consumption tax)
Eliminate all national income tax (and most of the IRS)
Since states already have mechanism in place for state sales tax, this on top would not be big problem
I would also encourage user taxes
Property taxes to be used only for property related items (fire, safety—police and sheriff, justice—court and jails)
Local income taxes for education. Vouchers for k-16 for all aged 5-22.
Increase gas taxes and use proceeds to rebuild infrastructure (bridges, third lanes for interstate) and for regional high speed rail systems.
Alcohol and tobacco (vice) taxes to go towards health care
Corporate taxes at a low level (20% or less) and capital gains taxed similarly.



IMMIGRATION
Current policy totally backwards.
Encourage and allow illiterate Mexican peasants while making it difficult for educated.
Urban myth of pregnant Mexican stumbling across border and giving birth and then claiming cannot be deported because now mother of US citizens. Crazy.
My recommendation: change citizenship to must be child of at least one US citizen.
Any non-US citizen with Doctorate, masters or bachelors in an area of need should be given first priority with unlimited numbers.
Definitely need wall and strict controls of border across South. If you cannot control border, you cannot control country
Any job should go first to US citizen and only after no US citizen that is qualified should it go to illegals. All employers should be required to check with Social Security to validate new potential employers. Database should allow to confirm name and SSN.
Any stop or police arrest of an illegal means immediate deportment.
No sanctuary cities. Federal funding eliminated for any.


Education
The Education system of our country is that we are a 21st century country using 19th century techniques more adept towards a primitive industrial society (mass production of adequate labor)
The Education Department has been in existence for over 30 years, in that period of time hundreds of billions of dollars as been spent and the youth are less prepared than ever.
The first problem is the monopoly of the public education system. This must be replaced with vouchers that allow each and every eligible student (K-16) to enroll in the school (public, private, or profit) desired. Competition will shake up the educational establishment and the lockhold the unions have on the system.
The second problem is that in the age of computers, we are preparing our students the same way it was two centuries ago. Unstead of mass production, we ought to emphasize mass customization. Students should be able to progress at their own rate of speed instead of waiting for the rest of the class. A brilliant student should be able to finish in weeks what could take the rest of his class months.
The third problem is the No Child Left Behind provides incentives for remedial work at the cost of funds and time that could be used for advanced studies, thus leaving the top students out.
The fourth problem is that political correctness has taken upperhand. Global Warming and Homelessness and Aids and Sexual Orientation is more important than learning about Mathematics and Reading and Science. Our priorities are all screwed up.
The fifth problem is that discipline and moral are abysmal. Discipline must be reestablished and zero tolerance the rule. One student can disrupt the entire class. That student should be immediately put in his place and the class allowed to continue.
The sixth problem is that the US system still believes students are needed during the summer for the crops. There is no reason students cannot be in school for the summer. A four quarter continuous system of 11 weeks on, 2 weeks vacation off should be implemented. Why not a longer school day? What is wrong with homework? Additional work would not harm our youth.
Teachers should be experts in their fields first with teaching secondary (a one year apprenticeship should be sufficient)

Health:
NO GOVERNMENT UNIVERSAL HEALTH CARE SITUATION
*•Must be portable (owned by individual not by company).
• Choice must be that of individual not government or business
• Use the free market and health insurance enterprises to supply market
• Use tax credits
• All citizens over 18 are required to have an insurance policy or be covered under a family
• Minimum set of required items within standard package
• A health version of FDIC established to over see insurance companies and provide protection if one goes under.

• Government limitations to health care:
• pay for all childhood vaccines and required for school and citizenship
• require annual checkups (physicals) within any policy
• provide free birth control for any girl 10-14-18 or older and mandate birth control for any woman (and her female children) on welfare, food stamps, rent, etc or any government program
Reform of malpractice is required.
Reform of FDA and new drug creation policies


General:
Parameters for voting should be reviewed:
Over 21, Have income, pay taxes, own property, Speak and write American English at 6th grade level, and Pass High School Civics/economics test
Only those vested interest should be allowed to vote. Why should homeless or illiterate illegal or welfare queen.

tenets continued

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.

Tenets continued

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.

Tenets (continued)

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.

Tenets (continued)

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.
5. Personal Responsibility
We affirm that each individual has the right to make choices and to acknowledge that each choice has an outcome that the individual must then accept. If he/she chooses to drink and drive, the outcome of drunken driving then becomes a natural outcome that he/she must accept and bear the complete responsibility of the outcome. If they have the freedom of choosing bad choices, they must accept the results of their decision. No moral hazard. No nanny state. We must return to accept the personal responsibility of our own actions; if one chooses not to stay in school, one must accept the results of that decision.
A return to equal opportunity, not equal outcomes. There will also be winners and losers; some better than others. If everyone wins, no one wins. Self-esteem should not take center stage rather personal motivation.

Tenets (continued)

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.
5. Personal Responsibility
We affirm that each individual has the right to make choices and to acknowledge that each choice has an outcome that the individual must then accept. If he/she chooses to drink and drive, the outcome of drunken driving then becomes a natural outcome that he/she must accept and bear the complete responsibility of the outcome. If they have the freedom of choosing bad choices, they must accept the results of their decision. No moral hazard. No nanny state. We must return to accept the personal responsibility of our own actions; if one chooses not to stay in school, one must accept the results of that decision.
A return to equal opportunity, not equal outcomes. There will also be winners and losers; some better than others. If everyone wins, no one wins. Self-esteem should not take center stage rather personal motivation.



6.America is Good/ America First
We as conservatives do not apologize for America or its history; we rather glorify and wish to export it. We acknowledge that it has not always been perfect but it has accepted its faults and corrected it (Slavery was a bad episode in American history but a civil war costing hundreds of thousands of lives is a sufficient price to pay). We object to the political correct policy of ignoring our own history or glorifying those few mistakes in the past well out of weight to their significance. We believe each American citizen or potential citizen must learn about the American culture, learn its language, and be proud of its history. American English is the official language of America, should be legislated as such, and learned by all immigrants or aspirants before citizenship will be given.
We also believe in America First. We do not wish to shackle American hands by multilateral forces (such as UN or EU). America needs the ability to unilaterally act as it deems necessary to defend the country and its citizens.

7. Under God
Our forefathers made special mention of God in the Declaration and the Constitution. We believe the Judeo-Christian philosophy should be proclaimed and proudly posted as the proper heritage of America. The Freedom of Religion and “Separation of Church and State” means its citizenry has the right to worship as they believe and that no governmental religion be established. It does not mean banning religion from the public realm or requiring all religions to be equally pronounced in displays.

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

1. Free Market/Capitalism
The principle of the Free Market and Capitalism are to be affirmed. An unfettered and deregulated free market should be allowed to operate. All functions that can be privatized (post office, airport security, etc) should be. A review of regulations must be made to eliminate those that most severely restrict private businesses. Regulations should be made by Congress not by bureaucrats and a sunset provision made for each regulation.
Free Trade should be encouraged. Free Trade means trade on equal footing; countries such as China which encourages piracy and does not allow an open market of goods imported should be punished by disincentives on their exports to America. Free Trade agreements with as many countries as possible is the preferred course of action.
2. Minimalist Government
Government should be viewed as a referee or judge not a participant in the economy: allowing the game of capitalism to continue and stopping only to penalize those who break the rules (fraud/laws). If it wants to change behavior, it should change the rules (moving goalposts back behind the end zone; moving kickoff to 35 yard line, etc) and allow the game to keep on going. That is, by incentives and disincentives behavior is to be modified not by fiat. For example: Instead of a CAFÉ that tries to change the laws of physics, government should provide incentives (yearly bonus) to those with vehicles with high mileage while charging an excise tax to those who wish to continue buying tax guzzlers.
The wisdom of our forefathers to have only four departments in the federal government should be revisited. Do we really need a Department of Education or Energy (for the past 30 years these departments have spent tens if not hundreds of billions of dollars and performance is worst today than when they were started) Major efforts within the government (education, energy, labor, commerce, agriculture, etc) should be downsized or returned to the states.
The Federal government should only be involved in Justice, Treasury, State (foreign affairs), and Defense. All other duties should be handed to the states or given to the private sector. If a function can be performed by the private sector, it should be.
Government is notoriously inefficient and by limiting the functions it has to offer, inefficencies should be diminished. Government only takes wealth and redistributes it, it does not create wealth.

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

1. Free Market/Capitalism
The principle of the Free Market and Capitalism are to be affirmed. An unfettered and deregulated free market should be allowed to operate. All functions that can be privatized (post office, airport security, etc) should be. A review of regulations must be made to eliminate those that most severely restrict private businesses. Regulations should be made by Congress not by bureaucrats and a sunset provision made for each regulation.
Free Trade should be encouraged. Free Trade means trade on equal footing; countries such as China which encourages piracy and does not allow an open market of goods imported should be punished by disincentives on their exports to America. Free Trade agreements with as many countries as possible is the preferred course of action.
2. Minimalist Government
Government should be viewed as a referee or judge not a participant in the economy: allowing the game of capitalism to continue and stopping only to penalize those who break the rules (fraud/laws). If it wants to change behavior, it should change the rules (moving goalposts back behind the end zone; moving kickoff to 35 yard line, etc) and allow the game to keep on going. That is, by incentives and disincentives behavior is to be modified not by fiat. For example: Instead of a CAFÉ that tries to change the laws of physics, government should provide incentives (yearly bonus) to those with vehicles with high mileage while charging an excise tax to those who wish to continue buying tax guzzlers.
The wisdom of our forefathers to have only four departments in the federal government should be revisited. Do we really need a Department of Education or Energy (for the past 30 years these departments have spent tens if not hundreds of billions of dollars and performance is worst today than when they were started) Major efforts within the government (education, energy, labor, commerce, agriculture, etc) should be downsized or returned to the states.
The Federal government should only be involved in Justice, Treasury, State (foreign affairs), and Defense. All other duties should be handed to the states or given to the private sector. If a function can be performed by the private sector, it should be.
Government is notoriously inefficient and by limiting the functions it has to offer, inefficencies should be diminished. Government only takes wealth and redistributes it, it does not create wealth.

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.
5. Personal Responsibility
We affirm that each individual has the right to make choices and to acknowledge that each choice has an outcome that the individual must then accept. If he/she chooses to drink and drive, the outcome of drunken driving then becomes a natural outcome that he/she must accept and bear the complete responsibility of the outcome. If they have the freedom of choosing bad choices, they must accept the results of their decision. No moral hazard. No nanny state. We must return to accept the personal responsibility of our own actions; if one chooses not to stay in school, one must accept the results of that decision.
A return to equal opportunity, not equal outcomes. There will also be winners and losers; some better than others. If everyone wins, no one wins. Self-esteem should not take center stage rather personal motivation.



6.America is Good/ America First
We as conservatives do not apologize for America or its history; we rather glorify and wish to export it. We acknowledge that it has not always been perfect but it has accepted its faults and corrected it (Slavery was a bad episode in American history but a civil war costing hundreds of thousands of lives is a sufficient price to pay). We object to the political correct policy of ignoring our own history or glorifying those few mistakes in the past well out of weight to their significance. We believe each American citizen or potential citizen must learn about the American culture, learn its language, and be proud of its history. American English is the official language of America, should be legislated as such, and learned by all immigrants or aspirants before citizenship will be given.
We also believe in America First. We do not wish to shackle American hands by multilateral forces (such as UN or EU). America needs the ability to unilaterally act as it deems necessary to defend the country and its citizens.

7. Under God
Our forefathers made special mention of God in the Declaration and the Constitution. We believe the Judeo-Christian philosophy should be proclaimed and proudly posted as the proper heritage of America. The Freedom of Religion and “Separation of Church and State” means its citizenry has the right to worship as they believe and that no governmental religion be established. It does not mean banning religion from the public realm or requiring all religions to be equally pronounced in displays.

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

The Seven Basic Tenets of Modern Conservatism

1. Free Market/Capitalism
The principle of the Free Market and Capitalism are to be affirmed. An unfettered and deregulated free market should be allowed to operate. All functions that can be privatized (post office, airport security, etc) should be. A review of regulations must be made to eliminate those that most severely restrict private businesses. Regulations should be made by Congress not by bureaucrats and a sunset provision made for each regulation.
Free Trade should be encouraged. Free Trade means trade on equal footing; countries such as China which encourages piracy and does not allow an open market of goods imported should be punished by disincentives on their exports to America. Free Trade agreements with as many countries as possible is the preferred course of action.
2. Minimalist Government
Government should be viewed as a referee or judge not a participant in the economy: allowing the game of capitalism to continue and stopping only to penalize those who break the rules (fraud/laws). If it wants to change behavior, it should change the rules (moving goalposts back behind the end zone; moving kickoff to 35 yard line, etc) and allow the game to keep on going. That is, by incentives and disincentives behavior is to be modified not by fiat. For example: Instead of a CAFÉ that tries to change the laws of physics, government should provide incentives (yearly bonus) to those with vehicles with high mileage while charging an excise tax to those who wish to continue buying tax guzzlers.
The wisdom of our forefathers to have only four departments in the federal government should be revisited. Do we really need a Department of Education or Energy (for the past 30 years these departments have spent tens if not hundreds of billions of dollars and performance is worst today than when they were started) Major efforts within the government (education, energy, labor, commerce, agriculture, etc) should be downsized or returned to the states.
The Federal government should only be involved in Justice, Treasury, State (foreign affairs), and Defense. All other duties should be handed to the states or given to the private sector. If a function can be performed by the private sector, it should be.
Government is notoriously inefficient and by limiting the functions it has to offer, inefficencies should be diminished. Government only takes wealth and redistributes it, it does not create wealth.

3. Individual rights
We need to affirm the set of individual rights provided to us by the constitution and bill of rights: Freedom of Speech, Religion, Right to bear arms, etc. We do not accept all other individual rights often discussed: right to a job, right to certain level of income, right to health care, right to abortion, etc. It is an individual right to succeed or fail.

4. Maximizing individual Choice.
Choice is an important word in the conservative tenets. By providing greater choice, an individual is allowed to maximize his own welfare, his own utility. An individual knows more and will work harder to satisfy his/her own utility than any bureaucrat or the state. More choice allows the free market to work to its fullest. Monopolies do not provide choice. Monopolies of any sort should be dissolved. School choice is a major player for conservatives: every student age 5-21 should be given vouchers that will allow them to choose the school (private or public) they wish. By doing so, the free market in education will result with much higher dividends for the public as a whole. Those schools that perform better will succeed; those that are mediocre will fail; new schools with new business plans/models will arise and the market will indicate success.
5. Personal Responsibility
We affirm that each individual has the right to make choices and to acknowledge that each choice has an outcome that the individual must then accept. If he/she chooses to drink and drive, the outcome of drunken driving then becomes a natural outcome that he/she must accept and bear the complete responsibility of the outcome. If they have the freedom of choosing bad choices, they must accept the results of their decision. No moral hazard. No nanny state. We must return to accept the personal responsibility of our own actions; if one chooses not to stay in school, one must accept the results of that decision.
A return to equal opportunity, not equal outcomes. There will also be winners and losers; some better than others. If everyone wins, no one wins. Self-esteem should not take center stage rather personal motivation.



6.America is Good/ America First
We as conservatives do not apologize for America or its history; we rather glorify and wish to export it. We acknowledge that it has not always been perfect but it has accepted its faults and corrected it (Slavery was a bad episode in American history but a civil war costing hundreds of thousands of lives is a sufficient price to pay). We object to the political correct policy of ignoring our own history or glorifying those few mistakes in the past well out of weight to their significance. We believe each American citizen or potential citizen must learn about the American culture, learn its language, and be proud of its history. American English is the official language of America, should be legislated as such, and learned by all immigrants or aspirants before citizenship will be given.
We also believe in America First. We do not wish to shackle American hands by multilateral forces (such as UN or EU). America needs the ability to unilaterally act as it deems necessary to defend the country and its citizens.

7. Under God
Our forefathers made special mention of God in the Declaration and the Constitution. We believe the Judeo-Christian philosophy should be proclaimed and proudly posted as the proper heritage of America. The Freedom of Religion and “Separation of Church and State” means its citizenry has the right to worship as they believe and that no governmental religion be established. It does not mean banning religion from the public realm or requiring all religions to be equally pronounced in displays.