Saturday, November 22, 2008

My analysis of what happened to the GOP on November 5

1. Mandate
a. A swing of 2-3% would have given the election to McCain. With nearly 50% of the voters against Barry, he can not claim a mandate. The Republicans (especially those in the Senate) must stand united and not be rolled by the democrats and the media into allowing Barry and the Liberals to do whatever they want because they were given a “mandate” by the “people” The numbers are hardly a mandate and the people voted for a pretty, handsome, eloquent first black American President not for what he said ( which was very little).
b. This means anything that would be considered a radical social or cultural shift (tax increases, gay marriage, union ballots, reinstatement of fairness doctrine, unlimited immigration, same day voter registration, liberal judges, etc
2. Electorate. An analysis of why who voted for whom is in order
a. Forget blacks, urban elite, yellow dog democrats
b. The “Franks”: registered Republicans who voted for Barry. These were those who were totally disgusted at the Bush Administration and voted Democratic not so much as for Obama but against Bush. McCain being an insider was considered Bush Lite or Bush III. A governor from the outside would have won these voters over.
c. Lukewarm Conservatives. These either did not vote or did not fight with passion. The lack of a conservative standard bearer was the cause. They felt the Party had swerved badly from its principles and had become just as bad as the Demos. Palin helped but too little too late.
d. Given a highly unpopular president, an unpopular war, a recession and a financial crisis one month before the election, it is surprising the Republicans did as well as they did. Without that last event, it would have been good chance for McCain.
3. Strategy and Tactics
a. Choice of Palin helped and did not hurt Republicans. They tactically did not use her well. Instead of sending her against the liberal press to be mauled, she should have been sent to make the rounds of the conservative radio and TV (OReilly, Sean H., Rush, etc). She should have been sent to every small town from Virginia to Minnesota spreading her message. Some complained she gave the same message. But it was the right message and telling the same story over and over could have been the winning strategy
b. McCain lost it over the Financial Crisis. He was too much insider. If instead he would have gone and fought against a government bailout, instead opting for a free enterprise solution, he might have carried the day. He needed to put his cabinet on the table early.
c. Being outspent four or five to one hurt but was not the deciding factor. See the Franks above. And the Financial crisis.
d. The media was overly liberal and pro-Barry. No doubt about it. But even the American people clearly saw a con job and knew it. They clearly understood the Media was not objective and this is going to come back to haunt the media in the next few years. The MSM (Main stream media) has seen its numbers fall steadily and that decline will continue to occur. For 2012, the New York Times and Washington Post may again be the liberal batboys but financially they will be gone and no one will be reading them except the liberal elite. ABC,, CBS, and NBC news as well as CNN and MSNBC are goners.
4. What to do next.
Some hope for 2012: a new census in 2010 which will transfer about 8-10 seats and votes from the Northeast/Midwest to the south/west and not California.
a. The mission and vision must be reviewed and returned. America is a right center country and any effort to turn it into a secular progressive paradise will fail. Newt’s research clearly shows 80-85% approve the right thoughts.
b. A shadow cabinet on the nature of the British should be formed and the Republican option for every program proposed by Barry and his boys need to be clearly stated to the American people.
c. The conservative voice will be coming from outside Washington DC. Governors provide the best chance to regain power in 2012.
d. What should be the purpose of Government? A debate and consensus on this needs to be established early.

How to solve the automotive industry crisis without spending a $ of public monies

How to solve the Automotive Industry Dilemma (without spending one public cent)
It is actually quite easy and allows the private market to function.
America still buys and will continue to buy a large number of cars/trucks per year. The actual number might vary between 15-20 million but they still must be purchased and serviced. If they are all made domestically, then why should we care who makes them? My proposal:
a) Mandate that starting in 2009, domestic production will be emphasized. For foreign manufacturers, one import will be allowed for every 2 produced within the borders of the USA. And value added of the cars produced domestically will be highly monitored and kept at the 90-95% level. This means that the auto supplier marketplace with tier one, two, and three, will be as strong as ever.
b) Therefore Japan can sell all 15 million cars as long as they make 10 million in the US. Or China can sell as many cars as they want as long as 2/3 are produced in the US. Korea, Germany, Poland, we do not care who as long as they are produced domestically. I would prefer some local companies to survive (Ford, GM, Chrysler) but in this scenario it matters little.
c) The Big 3’s assets would become valuable and salable as auto plants must be available to produce the cars domestically. Perhaps China would buy one of the big 3 or all. Who cares? Domestic production with all the jobs would remain. Domestic sourcing would be required and remain. The dealer network would be a requirement and would still exist in one form or another.
d) Sure there would be some disruption but the market would function , the government would not need to hand out billions of bucks, and labor would still be employed.
e) Perhaps the result would have not quite as handsome of labor deals as the UAW are used to (no more job banks) and considerable labor concessions must be made (but they are going to be made anyway). At least the jobs would be here.
Or course, it is very likely that the powers to be in government want to give billions and billions of taxpayer moneys to the auto industry. After all , there is plenty more where it comes from, they are behooven to the unions, and the power would provide them with lots of sticks to make the auto industry basically a nationalized entity. But why not look at the other ways to solve this problem?

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Myth of the Mandate

Now that Barry has won the election, he is eagerly putting together his first 100 days in order to effect the “Mandate” he won for “transformational Change Of America.”
Let’s see. He won the popular vote by 51-47. However, if you remove the non-votes from the ACORN group(such as the homeless man who registered 73 times to vote) and the extra votes produced by the urban democratic machines (Vote Early and Often)(A Philadelphia repair worker went to fix a broken machine BEFORE the polls opened and found considerable Barry votes already on the machine) and add those votes not counted (military absentee votes forgotten or ignored) and the numbers would be more like 50-48. That is perhaps a majority of voters but hardly a mandate. Nearly half of all voters did NOT give Barry their vote of confidence. Hardly a mandate. Reagan’s sweep of 49 states was a mandate. This was not.

America is still a nation of right of center religious hard working whose cultural values are overlooked because they are to be found in “Flyover country” nowhere near the cultural elites of San Fran, LA, NY, WDC, and Boston. Barry should thread carefully if he tries to establish the elite values as those for the country as a whole. If he tries to do so, the Republican senate minority, still enough to filibuster successfully will shut down his efforts. If he tries too hard, he will be a Carteresque one term President.
Quite frankly, Barry’s view of a Multilingual (everyone learning Spanish so the Spanish speaking illegal’s wont have to learn English), Multicultural (ditto), Multilateral (work with a corrupt UN or fearful of their shadows European Union or NATO) world-view with a “tolerant” society (hint: read Gay Marriages and non discrimination for Gays and Lesbians) that is secular (no religion) and equally distributed (income redistribution) and worker friendly (no secret ballots for unions) and gun free (good bye right to bear arms) and free speech (free for democrats but not free for anyone who opposes or dissents from their version of a liberal society) and abortion (anytime, anywhere, government paid, no parental notice) etc etc etc. You get the picture. This movie plans well in NY and San Fran but not once you cross the Hudson. And Barry, be warned, try to implement these policies and you only thought the people loved you. You sold them a bill of goods and now are trying the old bait and switch. Try to force the liberal Coast elite philosophy down their throats and the Republican win of 1994 will be replayed again in 2010.

That is the myth of the mandate. You did not get a mandate. You won a popularity contest because you were pretty, smiled nicely, and talked so sweet. You did not win because of your policies (you did not offer), You have been warned.

Barry's World

We have a new President. I will not name him. For I do not consider him my president. If I met him, I would not call him mr. President. I would not acknowledge him at all. Am I being a sore loser? Maybe. Probably not. Just because he can convince 50% of the stupid American public that he is Mr. Wonderful. Just because we are now not electing leaders as President but running a Presidential Idol contest that he won because he was pretty, smiles nicely (I shall call him from now on Smiley Pete), and talks oh so sweetly (although you don’t know what he said). No, to me he Barry the punk, that inexperienced, naïve, young, former Junior Senator of all of 4 years who has accomplished nothing, whose only record is of a hazy set of poorly chosen accomplices and friends, who got by on a Billion Dollars and a Smile. Does he really think his charm and oratatory abilities will cause Putin and Iran and Venezuela and Al Queada to swan and faint at his feet like the American Public and the Main Street Media did these last 8 months? No, of course not. They will take advantage of him to America’s detriment and at some awesome yet to be paid for cost. Yet, the public loves him. And that is all that matters.
So what does Barry’s world look like? It is a world where no dissent is allowed. Nobody can say anything wrong or bad about The Leader, The One, The Messiah. It is one where history can be written and rewritten as many times as it takes to prove Our Beloved Leader believed it (Sounds like 1984 doesn’t it?) It is one where the Government is all powerful, all knowing and all punishing. You like big government now, just wait for Barry’s world. To Barry, government and government service is the ultimate. Forget capitalism and business, businessmen are greedy only interested in profits and government is the only thing between the people and poverty. In Barry’s world, Free speech is that speech that he agrees with; all other is not free and will be prohibited. In Barry’s world, government revenues should be determined in trillions and trillions. What is money but to play with and to reward those that vote correctly (that is for Barry).

The list will go on and on. I can and will write more in the few days remaining before Barry’s world becomes a reality. Barry sold the American populace on one dream and will implement his own version. Barry is the proverbial wolf in sheep’s clothing. He knew the American public would never agree to the world he wants so he sold himself first and now in power, he can do what he wants.

Welcome to Barry’s world. For those that voted for him, you got him. For better and especially for much much worse.

California Plague

For decades now I have heard and read of Californians deserting their homeland because it is too congested, too polluted, too expensive, unable to afford living their, government regulations, and big brotherism. So they leave that State. During the 90s the exodus was to Washington and Oregon. This decade they have migrated to Montana, Nevada, and Colorado, attracted there by the beauty, the relative few people, and the frontier aspect of those areas. Of course, once they get there, they begin lobbying to remake those states into the California they left behind. Just as Washington and Oregon have become liberal bastions, so are the other three states. Just as Massachusetts immigration have transformed New Hampshire from a Live Free or Die state to just another New England liberal outpost, so too are the Western states. I do not think we need more Californians, we need none. My suggestions for Californians thinking of moving, do us a favor: go West not East.